Satellite operators frequently ask "what is the attitude of Oscar-10", or "can I have ALON/ALAT values for my computer program". Well, it looks like eleven year old AO-10 is coming in good again. Here's the analysis.
When the computer failed on Oscar-10 in 1986 we knew approximately what its orientation was. Since then of course there has been no telemetry, and the only "measurements" we can take are subjective interpretations of transponder performance and beacon wobblies.
At the time it finally failed, the spin axis/antenna direction lay exactly on the Sun's orbital arc (the Ecliptic). So because of the Sun's annual motion the solar panels were in turn fully lit then completely dark, twice a year. The Sun's angle to the panels just cycled up and down a sawtooth from -90 to 0 to +90 to 0 to -90. As you would expect, at zero illumination conditions the battery flattened, the beacon disappeared and there was no transponder. Exactly what we see to this day.
Also at the time it failed it was spinning at some 30 rpm. Due to tiny frictional effects this spin was gradually falling at a rate of 0.0035 rpm/orbit, so the current (1994) spin rate is very low.
Now a spinning satellite is just a gyroscope, and in the absence of any torques, should stay pointing in the same direction for all time. So one can extrapolate from the last known (1988) direction to the present day and beyond. The key phrase here is "absence of any torques"; if the spin rate is falling there must be some coaxial torque at least, and there is no reason not to expect some non-coaxial torques which would change the orientation a little.
So with the forgoing caveats, the table below shows the predicted attitude of Oscar-10 based on the last known 1988 data. The pattern is likely to be more or less correct, but by now there is probably a few week's slippage.
The only way to find out is to use the satellite and correlate experience with expectation. If users will take the trouble to let me have their observations we can together almost certainly refine this table. But I am not going to do it on my own.
It looks to me as though we are in for some near "normal" times on AO-10 for a couple of years. Bear it in mind during those irksome periods when Oscar-13's attitude is so unsociable.
DATE ALON ALAT SA ILL % SEL SAZ Arg P RAAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1995 Jan 23 [Mon] 201 -19 16 96 -25 121 244 287 1995 Feb 20 [Mon] 199 -19 44 71 -30 150 252 283 1995 Mar 20 [Mon] 196 -19 72 29 -27 179 259 278 1995 Apr 17 [Mon] 193 -18 79 18 -15 203 266 274 1995 May 15 [Mon] 190 -18 52 60 0 223 274 270 1995 Jun 12 [Mon] 188 -17 25 90 17 242 281 265 1995 Jul 10 [Mon] 185 -17 -1 100 32 265 288 261 1995 Aug 7 [Mon] 182 -16 -27 88 39 295 296 256 1995 Sep 4 [Mon] 179 -15 -54 57 34 326 303 252 1995 Oct 2 [Mon] 176 -14 -82 13 20 351 310 248 1995 Oct 30 [Mon] 173 -12 -70 34 0 9 318 243 1995 Nov 27 [Mon] 170 -11 -41 74 -20 27 325 239 1995 Dec 25 [Mon] 167 -9 -13 97 -37 51 332 234 DATE ALON ALAT SA ILL % SEL SAZ Arg P RAAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1996 Jan 22 [Mon] 163 -8 15 96 -45 87 340 230 1996 Feb 19 [Mon] 160 -6 43 72 -37 122 347 225 1996 Mar 18 [Mon] 157 -4 71 31 -19 145 354 221 1996 Apr 15 [Mon] 154 -3 80 16 2 161 2 217 1996 May 13 [Mon] 150 -1 53 59 24 177 9 212 1996 Jun 10 [Mon] 147 0 26 89 42 200 16 208 1996 Jul 8 [Mon] 143 2 0 100 49 236 24 203 1996 Aug 5 [Mon] 140 4 -26 89 40 271 31 199 1996 Sep 2 [Mon] 136 6 -53 59 21 293 38 195 1996 Sep 30 [Mon] 133 8 -80 16 -0 308 46 190 1996 Oct 28 [Mon] 130 10 -71 32 -23 324 53 186 1996 Nov 25 [Mon] 126 12 -43 72 -42 348 60 181 1996 Dec 23 [Mon] 123 14 -14 96 -50 27 68 177 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key --- ALON deg Attitude longitude in orbit plane coordinates (BLON) ALAT deg Attitude latitude in orbit plane coordinates (BLAT) SA deg Sun Angle ILL% Percentage illumination = 100*COS(SA) SEL deg Sun's elevation above orbit plane SAZ deg Sun's azimuth in orbit plane coordinates Orbit plane coordinates: longitude is measured clockwise from perigee; latitude is measured up from the orbit planeJames Miller G3RUH @ GB7DDX.#22.GBR.EU